Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 28Full time
VenueEstádio da Madeira
RefereeJoao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
Kickoff
Cortex Pick
CxCortex Pick·PENDING
Cortex hasn’t read this match
One tap to surface the bookmaker’s blind spot.
Cortex digests every signal in this fixture and returns a confidence-rated call — plus 4‑6 niche markets where the bookmakers misprice it.
Match winnerWith confidence ring & reasoning
Player propsUp to 6 prop edges, scored
Period markets1H/2H goals, 75′+ goal
Risk AlertLines the AI thinks are traps
Reads fixture + h2h + form + injuries + odds + standings
Match timeline
Nacional0′—96′Match timelineEstrela
2'
71'
Home goalAway goalYellowRed
- 90+6'Paulinho BóiaYellow
- 89'
- 86'Daniel JúniorYellow
- 85'
- 81'Jefferson EncadaYellow
- 78'Alan NúñezYellow
- 77'
- 77'
- 75'
- 74'
- 71'Paulinho Boiaassist Leo Santos
- 49'
- 45+3'Léo SantosYellow
- 46'
- 46'
- 16'Rodrigo PinhoYellow
- 2'J. RamirezGoal · Normal Goal
- 1'Luan PatrickYellow
Match statistics
Match statistics
17 stats49%
Possession
Nacional49|51Estrela
Shots on goal
4goals
Nacional
2goals
Estrela
Total shots
16shots
Nacional
11shots
Estrela
- 16Total shots11
- 4Shots on goal2
- 5Shots off goal6
- 8Shots inside box6
- 314Total passes331
- 78%Pass accuracy77%
- 5Corners6
- 14Fouls8
- 4Yellow cards3
- –Red cards–
- 1Offsides5
- 7Blocked shots3
- 8Shots outside box5
- 2Goalkeeper saves2
- 246Passes accurate255
- 0.96Expected goals (xG)0.53
- -1.58Goals prevented-1.58
Cortex Quick Read
Market & statistical baselineHeadline read
Double chance : draw or Estrela
Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %
Nacional10%
Draw45%
Estrela45%
Statistical comparisonfrom market & model
Form
17%
83%
Attack
22%
78%
Defense
43%
57%
Goals model
54%
46%
Head-to-head
29%
71%
Nacional · league form
LDLLLDLL
Estrela · league form
DWLLDDLW
Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points
Lineups
4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
Nacional4-3-3Tiago Margarido
vs
Estrela4-3-3Joao Nuno
Nacional bench
9
K. V. Medeiros de FreitasGoalkeeper50
L. JoaoForward19
WitiForward7
F. SoaresMidfielder22
Daniel JuniorMidfielderyel 86′10
J. SilvaMidfielder26
J. AurelioDefender2
L. VallierDefender24
C. GoncalvesDefender33
Estrela bench
9
DuduGoalkeeper13
S. van HooijdonkForward20
L. AntonettiForward7
NiDefender3
T. MoustierMidfielder28
OtavioDefender83
J. EncadaDefenderyel 81′17
JovaneForward11
J. MeirelesForward18
Recent form
Last 5 matches
NacionalL0-1
W2-0
L0-2
W1-0
W2-0
EstrelaL1-2
L0-1
L0-1
L0-2
W4-0
Head-to-head
8 previous meetings8 previous meetingsEven split
Nacional3wins
Drawn
2draws
Estrela3wins
38%25%38%
Aggregate goals8 matches
8
6
Injuries & suspensions
0 reportedNo injuries or suspensions reported.
Both squads at full availability.
