NacionalNacional
0:0
Full time
EstrelaEstrela
VenueEstádio da Madeira
RefereeJoao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
Kickoff

Cortex Pick

Pending
CxCortex Pick·PENDING
Cortex hasn’t read this match

One tap to surface the bookmaker’s blind spot.

Cortex digests every signal in this fixture and returns a confidence-rated call — plus 4‑6 niche markets where the bookmakers misprice it.

Match winnerWith confidence ring & reasoning
Player propsUp to 6 prop edges, scored
Period markets1H/2H goals, 75′+ goal
Risk AlertLines the AI thinks are traps
Reads fixture + h2h + form + injuries + odds + standings

Match timeline

Nacional0′96Match timelineEstrela
2'
71'
Home goalAway goalYellowRed

Match statistics

Match statistics

17 stats
49%
Possession
Nacional49|51Estrela
Shots on goal
4goals
Nacional
2goals
Estrela
Total shots
16shots
Nacional
11shots
Estrela
  • 16Total shots11
  • 4Shots on goal2
  • 5Shots off goal6
  • 8Shots inside box6
  • 314Total passes331
  • 78%Pass accuracy77%
  • 5Corners6
  • 14Fouls8
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • Red cards
  • 1Offsides5
  • 7Blocked shots3
  • 8Shots outside box5
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 246Passes accurate255
  • 0.96Expected goals (xG)0.53
  • -1.58Goals prevented-1.58

Cortex Quick Read

Market & statistical baseline
Free
Headline read
Double chance : draw or Estrela
Estrela edge
Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %
Nacional10%
Draw45%
Estrela45%
Statistical comparisonfrom market & model
Form
17%
83%
Attack
22%
78%
Defense
43%
57%
Goals model
54%
46%
Head-to-head
29%
71%
Nacional · league form
LDLLLDLL
Estrela · league form
DWLLDDLW
Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points

Lineups

4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
Nacional
Nacional4-3-3Tiago Margarido
vsEstrela
Estrela4-3-3Joao Nuno

Nacional bench

9

Estrela bench

9

Recent form

Last 5 matches
NacionalNacional
L0-1Famalicao
W2-0Estrela
L0-2Benfica
W1-0Alverca
W2-0Tondela
EstrelaEstrela
L1-2FC Porto
L0-1Arouca
L0-1Sporting CP
L0-2Nacional
W4-0Casa Pia

Head-to-head

8 previous meetings
8 previous meetingsEven split
NacionalNacional
3wins
Drawn
2draws
EstrelaEstrela
3wins
38%25%38%
Aggregate goals8 matches
8
6

Recent meetings

5

Injuries & suspensions

0 reported
No injuries or suspensions reported.

Both squads at full availability.

Standings

Primeira Liga 2025
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation
#TeamPW-D-LGDPts
12Rio AveRio Ave318-10-13-1934
13Santa ClaraSanta Clara318-8-15-1032
14NacionalNacional318-7-16-731
15EstrelaEstrela316-10-15-1728
16Casa PiaCasa Pia315-11-15-2626
17TondelaTondela314-10-17-2922