Liga MX·Clausura - 16Full time
VenueEstadio El Encanto
RefereeM. Ortiz
Kickoff
Cortex Pick
CxCortex Pick·PENDING
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One tap to surface the bookmaker’s blind spot.
Cortex digests every signal in this fixture and returns a confidence-rated call — plus 4‑6 niche markets where the bookmakers misprice it.
Match winnerWith confidence ring & reasoning
Player propsUp to 6 prop edges, scored
Period markets1H/2H goals, 75′+ goal
Risk AlertLines the AI thinks are traps
Reads fixture + h2h + form + injuries + odds + standings
Match timeline
Mazatlán0′—95′Match timelineToluca
45'
49'
54'
69'
75'
87'
88'
Home goalAway goalYellowRed
- 90+5'Gabriel LopezYellow
- 88'D. Hernandezassist Fabio Gomes
- 87'
- 87'
- 86'
- 81'
- 81'
- 75'
- 72'
- 72'
- 72'
- 69'Y. BarcenasGoal · Penalty
- 64'Facundo AlmadaVAR · Penalty confirmed
- 60'Marcel RuízRed card
- 59'Marcel RuízVAR · Card upgrade
- 56'
- 54'A. Brisenoassist A. Vega
- 49'
- 46'
- 45'E. del Villarassist F. Arce
- 26'Everardo LópezYellow
- 23'Jair DíazYellow
- 15'Lucas MerollaYellow
- 12'Alexis VegaYellow
Match statistics
Match statistics
17 stats41%
Possession
Mazatlán41|59Toluca
Shots on goal
6goals
Mazatlán
8goals
Toluca
Total shots
16shots
Mazatlán
13shots
Toluca
- 16Total shots13
- 6Shots on goal8
- 7Shots off goal1
- 7Shots inside box6
- 328Total passes465
- 83%Pass accuracy85%
- 3Corners8
- 12Fouls18
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards1
- 3Offsides0
- 3Blocked shots4
- 9Shots outside box7
- 4Goalkeeper saves2
- 271Passes accurate393
- 1.97Expected goals (xG)1.07
- -1.65Goals prevented-1.65
Cortex Quick Read
Market & statistical baseline📊Toluca edge
Headline read
Double chance : draw or Toluca
Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %
Mazatlán10%
Draw45%
Toluca45%
Statistical comparison5-axis · API model
Form
40%
60%
Attack
50%
50%
Defense
40%
60%
Goals model
26%
74%
Head-to-head
20%
80%
Mazatlán · league form
WLWLDLLD
Toluca · league form
WWWDDLDL
Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points
Lineups
5-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
Mazatlán5-4-1Sergio Bueno
vs
Toluca4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
Mazatlán bench
10- 13
B. ArceMidfielder9
J. EsquivelDefender16
Fabio GomesForward90
G. LopezForward⚽ 75′yel 95′193- 31
M. LainezMidfielder20
D. HernandezForward⚽ 88′28
G. AdameMidfielder27- 26
Toluca bench
10
L. GarciaGoalkeeper22
S. SimonMidfielder19
E. OrtaDefender206
V. ArteagaMidfielder33
J. AnguloMidfielder10
Bruno MendezDefender4
S. CordovaMidfielder7
N. CastroMidfielder⚽ 87′8
F. RomeroMidfielder5
O. VirgenForward23
Recent form
Last 5 matches
MazatlánL1-2
L1-3
D1-1
W4-3
L1-5
TolucaL1-2
W4-1
L3-4
L1-2
W3-0
Head-to-head
10 previous meetings10 previous meetingsToluca leads 6-3
Mazatlán3wins
Drawn
1draws
Toluca6wins
30%10%60%
Aggregate goals10 matches
13
24
Injuries & suspensions
0 reportedNo injuries or suspensions reported.
Both squads at full availability.
Standings
Liga MX 2025Play-off
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | 9-6-2 | +13 | 33 |
| 4 |  Pachuca | 17 | 9-4-4 | +6 | 31 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 17 | 8-6-3 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | 7-5-5 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | 7-4-6 | +10 | 25 |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | 7-4-6 | +3 | 25 |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | 5-8-4 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | 7-1-9 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | 4-8-5 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | 5-4-8 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | 5-3-9 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5-3-9 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | 5-3-9 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | 4-3-10 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | 3-4-10 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | 3-3-11 | -18 | 12 |