CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL Sudamericana·Group Stage - 3
Full time
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
0:0
Full time
River PlateRiver Plate
VenueEstádio Cícero de Souza Marques
RefereeWilmar Roldan, Colombia
Kickoff

Cortex Pick

pro tier
Generated
AI summary57% confidence

Cortex projects: River Plate win

River Plate's form (W-L-W-W-D, 7gf/3ga) is meaningfully stronger than Bragantino's (L-D-W-W-L, 9gf/8ga), with the defensive differential being the key signal. Bragantino's 8 goals conceded in five matches suggests River can exploit gaps, even away from home. Bragantino's attacking output is reasonable (9gf) but their inability to keep clean sheets undermines home advantage.

  • River Plate's last 5: W-L-W-W-D, only 3ga — stronger defensive record than Bragantino (8ga).
  • Bragantino's last 5 split: W-W sandwiched by two losses, 8ga signals defensive fragility at home.
  • River's attack averages 1.4gf/game over last 5; Bragantino concedes at roughly the same rate.
Free during launch
CxCortex Pick·PROGenerated 1d ago·claude-sonnet-4-6
Match winner
River Plate win
0conf
FormH2HMarketInjuriesStandingsEdge
AI Signal Radar64 avg

Six signal dimensions Cortex weighed. The shape is what the AI saw before the call — thin lobes mean thin data, full lobes mean high conviction.

  • Form76
  • H2H25
  • Market80
  • Injuries55
  • Standings56
  • Edge90

River Plate's form (W-L-W-W-D, 7gf/3ga) is meaningfully stronger than Bragantino's (L-D-W-W-L, 9gf/8ga), with the defensive differential being the key signal. Bragantino's 8 goals conceded in five matches suggests River can exploit gaps, even away from home. Bragantino's attacking output is reasonable (9gf) but their inability to keep clean sheets undermines home advantage. Both teams scoring is a live outcome given Bragantino's attacking volume, though River's tight defensive record keeps BTTS confidence modest.

Goals lines

Both teams to scoreYes
55%
Total goals 2.5Over
56%

Player props

3 calls

Bookmakers price player performance lines loosely — this is where the AI hunts the edge.

GA
Gabrielhome
Key passes Over 0.5

Gabriel averages 0.61 key passes/90 across 18 apps (1326 min) — good sample. Line of 0.5 sits just below his per-90 average, giving positive expected edge for over.

63%
AM
A. Morenoaway
Tackles Over 1.5

A. Moreno averages 2.62 tackles/90 across 17 apps (1478 min) — strong sample. Line of 1.5 is comfortably below his seasonal average, offering solid ground for over.

62%
MS
M. Salasaway
Shots Over 1.5

M. Salas averages 2.78 shots/90 across 11 apps (356 min). Line of 1.5 sits well below his per-90 average. Sample size is 11 apps — moderate, capped at 60.

60%

Period markets

2 calls
2H
2H GoalsOver 1.5

Bragantino's 8ga and River's 7gf in last 5 points to openness, though no half-by-half data exists. Modest confidence given absence of split data; overall scoring trend supports goals in second period.

54%
75'+
Goal 75-90'Yes

Both teams show mid-table finishing in their last 5 combined stats (16gf, 11ga across 10 games). No specific late-goal tendency data available; confidence is coin-flip range.

53%

Cortex Uncovered

What the AI weighed
  • River Plate's last 5: W-L-W-W-D, only 3ga — stronger defensive record than Bragantino (8ga).
  • Bragantino's last 5 split: W-W sandwiched by two losses, 8ga signals defensive fragility at home.
  • River's attack averages 1.4gf/game over last 5; Bragantino concedes at roughly the same rate.
  • No market odds available — value vs market assessment cannot be made; edge estimate based on form only.

Match timeline

RB Bragantino0′—98′Match timelineRiver Plate
53'
93'
Home goalAway goalYellowRed
  1. 90+8'
    L. RiveroYellow
  2. 90+3'
  3. 90'
  4. 90'
  5. 83'
  6. 81'
  7. 81'
  8. 61'
  9. 59'
  10. 59'
  11. 56'
  12. GabrielYellow
    55'
  13. 53'
  14. 47'
  15. 46'
  16. 46'
  17. 41'
    J. MezaYellow
  18. 36'
  19. 35'
  20. 22'
  21. 18'
  22. 10'

Match statistics

Match statistics

17 stats
36%
Possession
RB Bragantino36|64River Plate
Shots on goal
5goals
RB Bragantino
6goals
River Plate
Total shots
12shots
RB Bragantino
14shots
River Plate
  • 12Total shots14
  • 5Shots on goal6
  • 6Shots off goal4
  • 6Shots inside box3
  • 214Total passes397
  • 64%Pass accuracy84%
  • 5Corners6
  • 11Fouls10
  • 6Yellow cards4
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 1Blocked shots4
  • 6Shots outside box11
  • 5Goalkeeper saves5
  • 136Passes accurate334
  • 1.28Expected goals (xG)0.38
  • 1.58Goals prevented1.58

Cortex Quick Read

Market & statistical baseline
Free
📊
Headline read
Double chance : RB Bragantino or draw
RB Bragantino edge
Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %
RB Bragantino35%
Draw35%
River Plate30%
Statistical comparison5-axis · API model
Form
43%
57%
Attack
60%
40%
Defense
25%
75%
Goals model
48%
52%
RB Bragantino · league form
LW
River Plate · league form
DW
Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points

Lineups

4-3-3 vs 4-4-2
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino4-3-3Mancini Vagner
vsRiver Plate
River Plate4-4-2Eduardo Coudet
Cleiton
Cleiton
Juninho Capixaba
Capixaba
Pedro Henrique
Henrique
Alix Vinicius
Vinicius
José Andrés Hurtado
Andrés Hurtado
Gabriel Girotto
Girotto
Matheus Fernandes
Fernandes
Eduardo Sasha
53′
Sasha
José Herrera
Herrera
Isidro Pitta
Pitta
Lucas Barbosa
Barbosa
Santiago Beltrán
Beltrán
Marcos Acuña
Acuña
Lautaro Rivero
Rivero
Lucas Martínez Quarta
93′
Martínez Quarta
Gonzalo Montiel
Montiel
Tomás Galván
Galván
Aníbal Moreno
Moreno
Juan Cruz Meza
Cruz Meza
Ian Subiabre
Subiabre
Facundo Colidio
Colidio
Maximiliano Salas
Salas

RB Bragantino bench

12

River Plate bench

12

Recent form

Last 5 matches
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
W3-2Blooming
W4-2Remo
D1-1Mirassol
L0-1Palmeiras
River PlateRiver Plate
W3-1Aldosivi
L0-1Boca Juniors
W1-0Carabobo FC
W2-0Racing Club

Head-to-head

0 previous meetings
No previous meetings on record between these teams.

Market odds

via 10Bet
Source: 10Bet11 bookmakers · 4.5% spread
Match Winner
RB BragantinoFav
2.6837%
Draw
3.0533%
River Plate
2.7237%
Double Chance
RB or Draw
1.4469%
RB or River PlateFav
1.3077%
Draw or River Plate
1.4569%
Total Goals 2.5
Over
2.3543%
UnderFav
1.5764%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.9551%
NoFav
1.8056%
Half-time Result
RB Bragantino
3.3030%
DrawFav
1.9551%
River Plate
3.3530%
Correct Score · 5 most likely
1:119%
5.25
1:017%
6.00
0:116%
6.25
0:014%
7.00
2:112%
8.50

Injuries & suspensions

0 reported
No injuries or suspensions reported.

Both squads at full availability.

Standings

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
Play-off
#TeamPW-D-LGDPts
1America de CaliAmerica de Cali31-2-0+15
2MacaraMacara21-1-0+14
3TigreTigre30-2-1-12
4Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico20-1-1-11