Carabobo FC vs Blooming · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 30 Apr 2026 · Cortex AI

CONMEBOL Sudamericana·Group Stage - 3

Full time

Carabobo FC

0:0

Full time

Blooming

VenueEstadio Misael Delgado

RefereeAnthony Diaz, Ecuador

KickoffThu 30 Apr, 22:00

Cortex Pick

pro tier

Generated

AI summary62% confidence

Cortex projects: Carabobo FC win

Carabobo FC 2W-1L in last 3 at home with 12gf/8ga across last 5 — offensive output supports over.
Blooming winless in last 3 (L-D-D), conceding 10ga across last 5 — away defensive fragility evident.
Market heavily prices home win at 1.65 (61% implied); Blooming 5.2 reflects genuine quality gap.

Free during launch

CxCortex Pick·PROGenerated 1d ago·claude-sonnet-4-6

3won·3lost·0push

Match winnerWon

Carabobo FC win

0conf

AI Signal Radar58 avg

Six signal dimensions Cortex weighed. The shape is what the AI saw before the call — thin lobes mean thin data, full lobes mean high conviction.

Form65
H2H49
Market30
Injuries55
Standings56
Edge90

Carabobo's home advantage and Blooming's recent winless run (L-D-D) with a negative goal differential support the home win call. Combined form of 21gf/18ga across both sides' last 5 points toward a goal-heavy match, consistent with O/U 2.5 over. Blooming's attackers Hinojosa and Vásquez carry genuine threat (3G and 2G respectively in limited minutes), so clean sheet for Carabobo is not assured, but the quality gap and venue tilt the balance firmly toward the home side.

Goals lines

Both teams to scoreYes

56%

Total goals 2.5Over

60%

Player props

3 calls

Bookmakers price player performance lines loosely — this is where the AI hunts the edge.

Moisés Villarroelaway

Key passes Over 0.5

Moisés Villarroel averages 1.14 key passes/90 across 868 min (18 apps) — strongest sample in the Blooming squad. Line of 0.5 is comfortably below his per-90 average.

Lost

62%

R. Hinojosaaway

Shots Over 1.5

Hinojosa averages 1.64 shots/90 across 385 min (7 apps), with 7 total shots and 3 goals. Line of 1.5 sits just below his per-90 rate. Sample is 7 apps — confidence capped at 60.

Won

58%

A. Vásquezaway

Shots on target Over 0.5

Vásquez averages 1.65 shots/90 with 5 on target in 327 min (7 apps) — on-target rate of 83%. Line of 0.5 is well below per-90 average. 7-app sample caps confidence at 60; set at 55 given away context.

Lost

55%

Period markets

2 calls

1H GoalsOver 0.5

Both sides' last 5 games produced 21 combined goals — high-tempo attack on both ends. Blooming attackers Hinojosa/Vásquez active early. No specific H1 split data available; call grounded in overall goal volume.

Won

60%

75'+

Goal 75-90'Yes

Blooming's push for a result away (needing points after L-D-D run) and Carabobo's offensive output (12gf in 5) suggest late-game activity. Confidence modest — no direct late-goal data in signal pack.

Lost

55%

Cortex Uncovered

What the AI weighed

Carabobo FC 2W-1L in last 3 at home with 12gf/8ga across last 5 — offensive output supports over.
Blooming winless in last 3 (L-D-D), conceding 10ga across last 5 — away defensive fragility evident.
Market heavily prices home win at 1.65 (61% implied); Blooming 5.2 reflects genuine quality gap.
No Carabobo player data available — home individual-level analysis impossible; Blooming data limited to 7-18 apps.

Fair priceCarabobo FC win

1.65 is tight but reflects real form edge; no material overlay — market is efficient here. Under 1.8 on O/U edges toward value given combined 21gf in last 5.