Pisa vs Lecce · Serie A · 1 May 2026 · Cortex AI

Serie A·Regular Season - 35

Scheduled

Pisa

Fri 1 May

18:45

your local time

Lecce

VenueArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

RefereeM. Guida

KickoffFri 1 May, 18:45

Cortex Pick

pro tier

Generated

AI summary58% confidence

Cortex projects: Lecce win

Pisa last 5: 0W, 1GF, 12GA — historically poor scoring and defence; ranked 20th, 18pts, relegated zone.
Lecce holds h2h edge (3W vs 2W) and won the reverse fixture 1-0 in Dec 2025.
Both sides combined 1GF in last 5 games; market Under 2.5 at 1.53 reflects this but still value.

Free during launch

CxCortex Pick·PROGenerated 1d ago·claude-sonnet-4-6

Match winner

Lecce win

0conf

AI Signal Radar79 avg

Six signal dimensions Cortex weighed. The shape is what the AI saw before the call — thin lobes mean thin data, full lobes mean high conviction.

Form46
H2H85
Market82
Injuries90
Standings82
Edge90

Pisa's form is as bad as it gets — five straight defeats with just one goal scored, playing a home game with zero stakes upside and a depleted squad. Lecce's form is also poor (DDLLL) but they carry the h2h advantage and are statistically safer defensively (GD -24 vs -37). The combined attacking output of both sides over their last 5 games screams low-scoring; both BTTS No and Under 2.5 are strongly supported. Lecce at 2.48 is a mild value edge given the relegation pressure asymmetry and Pisa's injury losses.

Goals lines

Both teams to scoreNo

65%

Total goals 2.5Under

68%

Player props

3 calls

Bookmakers price player performance lines loosely — this is where the AI hunts the edge.

O. Gandelmanaway

Shots on target Over 1.5

Gandelman averages 1.35 shots on target per 90 over 42 apps (2726min) — the highest volume shooter in this fixture. Line at 1.5 is slightly above his avg but Pisa's defensive absences (Denoon out) create extra exposure.

63%

NŠ

N. Štulićaway

Shots Over 1.5

Štulić averages 1.08 shots/90 over 35apps (1920min). With Berisha (key creator) absent, Štulić likely takes on more offensive responsibility. Line at 1.5 sits just above his average; Pisa's porous defence supports volume.

60%

I. Touréhome

Shots Over 1.5

Touré averages 0.78 shots/90 over 31apps (2299min). Line at 1.5 is above his per-90 rate; however as one of Pisa's key remaining midfielders post-injuries, his volume may increase. Modest confidence given rate vs line mismatch.

57%

Period markets

2 calls

1H GoalsUnder 0.5

Both teams have scored just 1 goal combined across their last 5 matches each. Lecce h2h reverse fixture was a 1-0 result; low-tempo, defensive-minded fixture expected. First half likely goalless.

58%

75'+

Goal 75-90'Yes

Relegation context for Pisa (must win) could force late push and open space for Lecce counters in final 15. Coin-flip confidence; no specific corner or late-goal data in signal pack to strengthen this further.

52%

Cortex Uncovered

What the AI weighed

Pisa last 5: 0W, 1GF, 12GA — historically poor scoring and defence; ranked 20th, 18pts, relegated zone.
Lecce holds h2h edge (3W vs 2W) and won the reverse fixture 1-0 in Dec 2025.
Both sides combined 1GF in last 5 games; market Under 2.5 at 1.53 reflects this but still value.
Pisa missing Tramoni (top attacker, 1.15 shots/90) plus Durosinmi, Marin, Denoon — significant attacking loss.

Value vs marketLecce win

Lecce implied at 40% feels low given Pisa's catastrophic form, h2h edge, and Tramoni absence. True probability closer to 46-48%.