Cortex Pick
pro tierCortex passed on PEC Zwolle vs Heracles
Market implies 69% for PEC Zwolle. Both sides in dire form (Zwolle 6ga/5, Heracles 14ga/5), 8 Zwolle absentees, and h2h perfectly split 5-5 with Heracles winning the last two (8-2, 4-2). Our read lands ~65-67% for home — below the 7pp gap needed to clear MEDIUM band at 69% implied. No exploitable mispricing.
No edge on the 1X2 line — but 1 niche call below.
Market implies 69% for PEC Zwolle. Both sides in dire form (Zwolle 6ga/5, Heracles 14ga/5), 8 Zwolle absentees, and h2h perfectly split 5-5 with Heracles winning the last two (8-2, 4-2). Our read lands ~65-67% for home — below the 7pp gap needed to clear MEDIUM band at 69% implied. No exploitable mispricing.
Period markets
1 callLast 4 h2h meetings all produced goals in both halves. Zwolle's depleted defence and Heracles' tendency to score early in recent meetings (8-2 included first-half goals) supports first-half btts. Both sides average 3.3-3.7 shots on target per match.
Cortex Quick Read
Market & statistical baselineRecent form
Last 5 matchesHead-to-head
10 previous meetingsRecent meetings
5- 02 Nov 25Heracles8–2PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- 02 Mar 25Heracles4–2PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- 01 Sept 24PEC Zwolle3–0HeraclesEredivisie
- 28 Apr 24PEC Zwolle3–1HeraclesEredivisie
- 01 Oct 23Heracles2–1PEC ZwolleEredivisie
Market odds
via 10BetInjuries & suspensions
10 reportedPEC Zwolle
8
J. FaberskiInactiveOut
S. LagsirMuscle InjuryOut
J. MonteiroMuscle InjuryOut
J. Pereira da GamaInactiveOut
J. SchendelaarThigh InjuryOut
S. ShoretireKnee InjuryOut
D. VouteInactiveOut
D. van der HaarInactiveOut
Heracles
2
F. de KeijzerInactiveOut
M. te WierikInactiveOut
Standings
Eredivisie 2025| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 31 | 8-13-10 | +5 | 37 | |
| 12 | 31 | 10-6-15 | -12 | 36 | |
| 13 | 31 | 8-10-13 | -25 | 34 | |
| 14 | 32 | 9-7-16 | -14 | 34 | |
| 15 | 31 | 8-7-16 | -17 | 31 | |
| 16 | 32 | 7-10-15 | -10 | 31 | |
| 17 | 32 | 5-10-17 | -25 | 25 | |
| 18 | 31 | 5-4-22 | -45 | 19 |

