Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32Full time
VenuePreZero Arena
RefereeSascha Stegemann, Germany
Kickoff
Cortex Pick
pro tierAI summary · abstained
Cortex passed on 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Both sides are level on 57pts/rank 4-5 with identical W-D-L records; implied 44/25/37 is close to our read and no structural mispricing is identifiable.
Free during launch
Cortex Pick · Pro1d ago · claude-sonnet-4-6
No edge · abstained
Cortex passed on this fixture
Conflicting signals
Both sides are level on 57pts/rank 4-5 with identical W-D-L records; implied 44/25/37 is close to our read and no structural mispricing is identifiable.
Cortex looks at every fixture but only publishes a call when the numbers point to real value. Skipping is part of the product.
Match timeline
1899 Hoffenheim0′—95′Match timelineVfB Stuttgart
7'
20'
23'
49'
64'
95'
Home goalAway goalYellowRed
- 90+5'T. TomasGoal · Normal Goal
- 90+1'
- 90+1'
- 90'
- 86'
- 83'O. KabakYellow
- 81'
- 76'
- 69'A. KarazorRed card
- 68'BernardoYellow
- 64'E. Demirovicassist J. Leweling
- 58'B. El KhannoussYellow
- 55'
- 55'
- 49'A. Kramaricassist B. Toure
- 49'A. KramaricYellow
- 23'B. ToureGoal · Normal Goal
- 20'C. Fuhrichassist R. Hendriks
- 7'A. Kramaricassist F. Asllani
Match statistics
Match statistics
17 stats46%
Possession
1899 Hoffenheim46|54VfB Stuttgart
Shots on goal
9goals
1899 Hoffenheim
5goals
VfB Stuttgart
Total shots
22shots
1899 Hoffenheim
14shots
VfB Stuttgart
- 22Total shots14
- 9Shots on goal5
- 10Shots off goal5
- 13Shots inside box10
- 357Total passes409
- 77%Pass accuracy81%
- 4Corners5
- 18Fouls9
- 3Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards1
- 2Offsides3
- 3Blocked shots4
- 9Shots outside box4
- 2Goalkeeper saves6
- 276Passes accurate333
- 2.11Expected goals (xG)1.75
- 0.06Goals prevented0.06
Cortex Quick Read
Market & statistical baselineHeadline read
Combo Double chance : draw or VfB Stuttgart and +1.5 goals
Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %
1899 Hoffenheim10%
Draw45%
VfB Stuttgart45%
Statistical comparisonfrom market & model
Form
50%
50%
Attack
37%
63%
Defense
45%
55%
Goals model
52%
48%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
1899 Hoffenheim · league form
LWDLLDWW
VfB Stuttgart · league form
WDWWLWLD
Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points
Lineups
4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
1899 Hoffenheim4-2-3-1Christian Ilzer
vs
VfB Stuttgart4-2-3-1Sebastian Hoeness
1899 Hoffenheim bench
9
Max MoerstedtForward33
Kevin AkpogumaDefender25
Alexander PrassDefender22
Muhammed DamarMidfielder10
Luca PhilippGoalkeeper37
Cole CampbellForward20
Luka DuricMidfielder48
Adam HložekForward23
Ihlas BebouForward9
VfB Stuttgart bench
9
Maximilian MittelstädtDefender7
Ermedin DemirovićForward⚽ 64′9
Lorenz AssignonDefender22
Tiago TomásForward⚽ 95′8
Fabian BredlowGoalkeeper1
Dan ZagadouDefender23
Nikolas NarteyMidfielder28
Chema AndrésMidfielder30
Badredine BouananiForward27
Recent form
Last 5 matches
1899 HoffenheimL3-5
L1-2
D2-2
W2-1
W2-1
VfB StuttgartD1-1
W2-1
L2-4
W4-0
L0-2
Head-to-head
10 previous meetings10 previous meetingsVfB Stuttgart leads 3-2
1899 Hoffenheim2wins
Drawn
5draws
VfB Stuttgart3wins
20%50%30%
Aggregate goals10 matches
11
16
Recent meetings
5- 20 Dec 25VfB Stuttgart0–01899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 23 Feb 251899 Hoffenheim1–1VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- 06 Oct 24VfB Stuttgart1–11899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 16 Mar 241899 Hoffenheim0–3VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- 28 Oct 23VfB Stuttgart2–31899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Market odds
via 10BetSource: 10Bet13 bookmakers · 3.0% spread
Match Winner
1899 HoffenheimFav
2.2644%
Draw
3.9525%
VfB Stuttgart
2.6837%
Double Chance
1899 or Draw
1.4569%
1899 or VfBFav
1.2083%
Draw or VfB
1.6063%
Total Goals 2.5
OverFav
1.3674%
Under
3.1032%
Both Teams to Score
YesFav
1.3375%
No
3.1032%
Half-time Result
1899 Hoffenheim
2.7536%
DrawFav
2.5040%
VfB Stuttgart
2.9534%
Correct Score · 5 most likely
2:113%
8.00
1:113%
8.00
2:211%
9.00
1:211%
9.00
3:18%
12.00
Injuries & suspensions
0 reportedNo injuries or suspensions reported.
Both squads at full availability.
Standings
Bundesliga 2025Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 31 | 20-7-4 | +34 | 67 |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 31 | 19-5-7 | +24 | 62 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 31 | 17-6-8 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 31 | 17-6-8 | +16 | 57 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 31 | 16-7-8 | +20 | 55 |
| 7 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 31 | 11-10-10 | -2 | 43 |