Bundesliga·Regular Season - 32Full time
VenueStadion An der Alten Försterei
RefereeDaniel Schlager, Germany
Kickoff
Cortex Pick
pro tierAI summary · abstained
Cortex passed on Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln
H2H strongly favours Union (6-2-2, 14-9 goals) but Union's current form is catastrophic (1pt from last 5, -20 GD) making h2h dominance unreliable; market implied 41% is plausibly fair given both sides' poor league standing.
Free during launch
Cortex Pick · Pro1d ago · claude-sonnet-4-6
No edge · abstained
Cortex passed on this fixture
Conflicting signals
H2H strongly favours Union (6-2-2, 14-9 goals) but Union's current form is catastrophic (1pt from last 5, -20 GD) making h2h dominance unreliable; market implied 41% is plausibly fair given both sides' poor league standing.
Cortex looks at every fixture but only publishes a call when the numbers point to real value. Skipping is part of the product.
Match timeline
Union Berlin0′—96′Match timeline1. FC Köln
33'
61'
73'
89'
Home goalAway goalYellowRed
- 90+6'Livan BurcuYellow
- 89'Livan BurcuGoal · Normal Goal
- 88'Marvin SchwäbeYellow
- 88'
- 80'
- 73'
- 72'
- 72'
- 71'
- 67'
- 62'
- 61'Said El Malaassist Kristoffer Lund
- 58'
- 58'
- 58'
- 55'Jahmai Simpson-PuseyYellow
- 34'Diogo LeiteYellow
- 33'
- 31'Eric MartelYellow
Match statistics
Match statistics
17 stats58%
Possession
Union Berlin58|421. FC Köln
Shots on goal
2goals
Union Berlin
4goals
1. FC Köln
Total shots
13shots
Union Berlin
8shots
1. FC Köln
- 13Total shots8
- 2Shots on goal4
- 6Shots off goal4
- 9Shots inside box6
- 460Total passes334
- 77%Pass accuracy74%
- 2Corners5
- 7Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards3
- –Red cards–
- 0Offsides2
- 5Blocked shots0
- 4Shots outside box2
- 2Goalkeeper saves0
- 353Passes accurate248
- 1.24Expected goals (xG)1.71
- -1.04Goals prevented-1.04
Cortex Quick Read
Market & statistical baselineHeadline read
Double chance : draw or 1. FC Köln
Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %
Union Berlin10%
Draw45%
1. FC Köln45%
Statistical comparisonfrom market & model
Form
14%
86%
Attack
29%
71%
Defense
41%
59%
Goals model
53%
47%
Head-to-head
71%
29%
Union Berlin · league form
LLWLDLLL
1. FC Köln · league form
LLDDDWDL
Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points
Lineups
3-5-2 vs 4-2-3-1
Union Berlin3-5-2Marie-Louise Eta
vs
1. FC Köln4-2-3-1Lukas Kwasniok
Union Berlin bench
9
Christopher TrimmelDefender28
Andrej IlićForward23
Livan BurcuForward⚽ 89′yel 96′9
Tim SkarkeMidfielder21
Alex KrálMidfielder33- 48Tom WisbereitGoalkeeper48
Leopold QuerfeldDefender14
Janik HabererMidfielder19
Derrick KöhnDefender39
1. FC Köln bench
9
Felipe ChávezMidfielder27
Jan Uwe ThielmannMidfielder29
Linton MainaMidfielder37
Youssoupha NiangForward38
Joel SchmiedDefender2
Ron-Robert ZielerGoalkeeper20
Dominique HeintzDefender3
Denis HuseinbašićMidfielder8
Alessio Castro-MontesMidfielder17
Recent form
Last 5 matches
Union BerlinL0-4
D1-1
L1-3
L1-2
L1-3
1. FC KölnL1-2
D1-1
W3-1
D2-2
D3-3
Head-to-head
10 previous meetings10 previous meetingsUnion Berlin leads 6-2
Union Berlin6wins
Drawn
2draws
1. FC Köln2wins
60%20%20%
Aggregate goals10 matches
14
9
Recent meetings
5- 20 Dec 251. FC Köln0–1Union BerlinBundesliga
- 11 May 241. FC Köln3–2Union BerlinBundesliga
- 20 Dec 23Union Berlin2–01. FC KölnBundesliga
- 04 Mar 23Union Berlin0–01. FC KölnBundesliga
- 11 Sept 221. FC Köln0–1Union BerlinBundesliga
Market odds
via 10BetSource: 10Bet13 bookmakers · 2.8% spread
Match Winner
Union BerlinFav
2.4241%
Draw
3.2531%
1. FC Köln
2.8635%
Double Chance
Union Berlin or Draw
1.4071%
Union Berlin or 1. FC KölnFav
1.2878%
Draw or 1. FC Köln
1.5365%
Total Goals 2.5
Over
1.9053%
UnderFav
1.8554%
Both Teams to Score
YesFav
1.7059%
No
2.1048%
Half-time Result
Union Berlin
3.1032%
DrawFav
2.0050%
1. FC Köln
3.4029%
Correct Score · 5 most likely
1:118%
5.50
1:014%
7.00
2:113%
7.50
0:113%
8.00
0:012%
8.50
Injuries & suspensions
0 reportedNo injuries or suspensions reported.
Both squads at full availability.
Standings
Bundesliga 2025Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 31 | 7-11-13 | -14 | 32 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 8-8-15 | -18 | 32 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 31 | 8-8-15 | -20 | 32 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 31 | 7-10-14 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 31 | 7-10-14 | -16 | 31 |
| 16 | FC St. Pauli | 31 | 6-8-17 | -27 | 26 |