Osasuna vs Barcelona · La Liga · 2 May 2026 · Cortex AI

La Liga·Regular Season - 34

Full time

Osasuna

0:0

Full time

Barcelona

VenueEstadio El Sadar

RefereeIsidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain

KickoffSat 2 May, 19:00

Cortex Pick

pro tier

Generated

AI summary · abstained

Cortex passed on Osasuna vs Barcelona

Barcelona implied at 58% is fair given rank-1 form (W-W-W-W-L, 85pts, GD+57) vs rank-9 Osasuna, but three key absentees (Yamal, Kounde, Christensen) compress the true edge toward the market price. No exploitable mispricing identified.

Free during launch

CxCortex Pick·PROGenerated 16h ago·claude-sonnet-4-6

Match winner · passed

No edge on the 1X2 line — but 5 niche calls below.

Line is efficient

Player props

3 calls

M. Rashfordaway

Shots Over 1.5

Rashford averages 2.89 shots/90 over 47 apps (sample strong). With Yamal absent, Rashford likely starts and takes on wider creative load. Line at 1.5 sits 49% below his per-90 rate. Osasuna concede 5ga in last 5 — not elite defensive block.

LostHIGH

Moncayolahome

Tackles Over 1.5

Moncayola averages 1.48 tackles/90 over 33 apps. Against Barcelona's possession-heavy system (Pedri 89.8% pass%) Osasuna will defend deep and press — Moncayola consistently hits 1.5+ in competitive home games. Line at 1.5 is tight but per-90 supports it.

WonHIGH

Pedriaway

Tackles Over 1.5

Pedri averages 2.37 tackles/90 over 40 apps. Osasuna press aggressively (Moncayola 1.48, Oroz 1.68 tackles/90), generating high-press duels in midfield. Line at 1.5 sits well below his 2.37 per-90 average.

LostMEDIUM

Period markets

2 calls

2H GoalsOver 1.5

Barcelona's 9gf in last 5 weighted heavily in second halves as subs arrive. Yamal absence means Barcelona may trail or be level at HT, forcing push — both Sep-2024 (4-2) and Dec-2025 (2-0) had 2+ second-half goals.

WonMEDIUM

1H BTTSNo

3 of last 4 H2H meetings saw at least one side blank in the first half. Barcelona typically build slowly in away fixtures; Osasuna's 5ga last 5 came across 90 mins. First-half mutual scoring is historically uncommon in this tie.

WonMEDIUM

Match timeline

Osasuna0′—90′Match timelineBarcelona

81'

86'

88'

Home goalAway goalYellowRed

88'

Pedrion M. Bernal

R. Garciaassist A. Bretones

88'

R. Garciaon A. Bretones

86'

F. Torresassist Fermin

L. Torroon K. Barja

85'

J. Moncayolaon A. Osambela

85'

82'

E. Garciaon R. Araujo

81'

R. Lewandowskiassist M. Rashford

Jon MoncayolaYellow

74'

A. Budimiron R. Garcia

70'

M. Gomezon A. Oroz

70'

62'

Gavion F. de Jong

62'

D. Olmoon F. Torres

62'

R. Bardghjion M. Rashford

60'

Eric GarcíaYellow

24'

Pablo GaviYellow

Match statistics

17 stats

30%

Possession

Osasuna30|70Barcelona

Shots on goal

4goals

Osasuna

4goals

Barcelona

Total shots

9shots

Osasuna

13shots

Barcelona

9Total shots13
4Shots on goal4
4Shots off goal6
6Shots inside box9
270Total passes657
70%Pass accuracy90%
3Corners7
9Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
–Red cards–
4Offsides2
1Blocked shots3
3Shots outside box4
2Goalkeeper saves3
189Passes accurate590
0.91Expected goals (xG)1.20
-0.18Goals prevented-0.18

Cortex Quick Read

Market & statistical baseline

Free

Headline read

Double chance : draw or Barcelona

Barcelona edge

Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %

Osasuna0%

Draw50%

Barcelona50%

Statistical comparisonfrom market & model

Form

35%

65%

Attack

38%

63%

Defense

29%

71%

Goals model

40%

60%

Head-to-head

20%

80%

Osasuna · league form

LDLWDDLW

Barcelona · league form

WWWWWWWW

Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points

Lineups

4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1

Osasuna4-2-3-1Alessio Lisci

Barcelona4-2-3-1Hansi Flick

81′

Osasuna bench

A. FernandezGoalkeeper
13
D. StamatakisGoalkeeper
31
J. HerrandoDefender
5
R. GarciaForward⚽ 88′
9
A. BretonesDefender
23
I. MunozMidfielder
8
J. CruzDefender
3
K. BarjaForward
11
A. OrozMidfielder
10
I. BenitoForward
2
A. OsambelaMidfielder
29
I. ArguibideDefender
41

Barcelona bench

W. SzczesnyGoalkeeper
25
E. AllerGoalkeeper
33
F. de JongMidfielder
21
RaphinhaForward
11
F. TorresForward⚽ 86′
7
R. AraujoDefender
4
M. BernalMidfielder
22
M. RashfordForward
14
A. BaldeDefender
3
M. CasadoMidfielder
17
X. EspartDefender
42

Recent form

Last 5 matches

Osasuna

D2-2

D1-1

L0-1

W2-1

Barcelona

W2-0

W1-0

W2-1

W4-1

Head-to-head

9 previous meetings

9 previous meetingsBarcelona leads 8-1

Osasuna

1wins

Drawn

0draws

Barcelona

8wins

11%0%89%

Aggregate goals9 matches

Recent meetings

13 Dec 25Barcelona2–0OsasunaLa Liga
27 Mar 25Barcelona3–0OsasunaLa Liga
28 Sept 24Osasuna4–2BarcelonaLa Liga
31 Jan 24Barcelona1–0OsasunaLa Liga
11 Jan 24Barcelona2–0OsasunaSuper Cup

Market odds

via 10Bet

Source: 10Bet12 bookmakers · 3.6% spread

Match Winner

Osasuna

4.3523%

Draw

3.9026%

BarcelonaFav

1.7158%

Double Chance

Osasuna or Draw

2.0549%

Osasuna or BarcelonaFav

1.2083%

Draw or BarcelonaFav

1.2083%

Total Goals 2.5

OverFav

1.5764%

Under

2.3543%

Both Teams to Score

YesFav

1.5764%

2.3043%

Half-time Result

Osasuna

4.5022%

Draw

2.3543%

BarcelonaFav

2.2045%

Correct Score · 5 most likely

1:215%

6.50

1:114%

7.00

0:113%

7.50

0:212%

8.50

0:010%

10.00

Injuries & suspensions

4 reported

Osasuna

V. MunozMuscle Injury
Out

Barcelona

A. ChristensenKnee Injury
Out
J. KoundeYellow Cards
Out
Lamine YamalThigh Injury
Out

Standings

La Liga 2025

Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

#	Team	P	W-D-L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	33	28-1-4	+57	85
2	Real Madrid	33	23-5-5	+37	74
3	Villarreal	34	21-5-8	+25	68
4	Atletico Madrid	34	19-6-9	+21	63
5	Real Betis	33	12-14-7	+8	50
6	Celta Vigo	33	11-11-11	+2	44
7	Getafe	33	13-5-15	-6	44
8	Athletic Club	34	13-5-16	-10	44
9	Real Sociedad	33	11-10-12	0	43
10	Osasuna	33	11-9-13	-1	42
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	9-12-12	-8	39
12	Espanyol	33	10-9-14	-12	39