VillarrealVillarreal
your local time
LevanteLevante
VenueEstadio de la Ceramica
Kickoff

Cortex Pick

pro tier
Generated
AI summary63% confidence

Cortex projects: Villarreal win

Market prices Villarreal at 60% implied; our read is ~68% — h2h dominance (5/9 wins, 17-8 agg), 32-point standings gap, and Levante's -13 GD on the road all support home win. Edge ~8pt maps to confidence 63.

  • Villarreal rank 3 (65pts, 20W) vs Levante rank 19 (33pts, 8W) — 32pt gap is decisive class separation.
  • H2H: Villarreal 5W-1D-3L over 9 meetings, 17-8 aggregate; won most recent fixture 1-0 in Feb 2026.
  • Over 2.5: market implies 64% (1.57); both sides score in form — Villarreal 8gf/5ga, Levante 7gf/4ga last 5.
Free during launch
CxCortex Pick·PROGenerated 4h ago·claude-sonnet-4-6
Match winner
Villarreal win
0conf
FormH2HMarketInjuriesStandingsEdge
AI Signal Radar81 avg

Six signal dimensions Cortex weighed. The shape is what the AI saw before the call — thin lobes mean thin data, full lobes mean high conviction.

  • Form79
  • H2H100
  • Market81
  • Injuries55
  • Standings82
  • Edge90

Market prices Villarreal at 60% implied; our read is ~68% — h2h dominance (5/9 wins, 17-8 agg), 32-point standings gap, and Levante's -13 GD on the road all support home win. Edge ~8pt maps to confidence 63. Over 2.5: market implies 64%, our read is ~72% — both sides combined 15gf in last 5, Levante's leaky defence (16L) and Villarreal's home scoring record push this over the line; line_trap risk is modest at 1.57. BTTS Yes backed by Levante scoring in 4 of last 5 and Villarreal conceding in 3 of last 5.

Goals lines

Both teams to scoreYes
62%
Total goals 2.5Over
65%

Player props

3 calls

Bookmakers price player performance lines loosely — this is where the AI hunts the edge.

GM
Shots Over 1.5

Mikautadze averages 2.13 shots/90 over 41 apps. Levante rank 19 with -13 GD, leaky away defence. Line at 1.5 sits 0.63 below his per-90 even accounting for rotation risk.

64%
PN
Tackles Over 2.5

Navarro averages 3.18 tackles/90 over 28 apps. Levante press high (Romero 1.24 tackles/90 forward), generating transition duels that inflate CB tackle counts for Villarreal's back line.

63%
IR
Shots Over 1.5

Romero averages 1.72 shots/90 over 30 apps. Even in away losses Levante deploy him centrally; line at 1.5 is just below his per-90. Sample size sufficient but away suppression at Ceramica is a cap.

58%

Period markets

2 calls
1H
1H GoalsOver 0.5

Villarreal scored in first halves in 4 of last 5 home fixtures; h2h Jan 2022 ended 5-0, Feb 2026 Villarreal opened scoring. Combined attack pressure from rank-3 host vs relegated-zone away side consistently produces early goals.

64%
2H
2H GoalsOver 1.5

Both sides combined 15gf last 5; Levante's 4 scoring games in 5 suggest they respond after HT. Villarreal 20W season points to late consolidation goals when ahead. H2H 5-0 and 3-1 both featured multi-goal second halves.

61%

Cortex Uncovered

What the AI weighed
  • Villarreal rank 3 (65pts, 20W) vs Levante rank 19 (33pts, 8W) — 32pt gap is decisive class separation.
  • H2H: Villarreal 5W-1D-3L over 9 meetings, 17-8 aggregate; won most recent fixture 1-0 in Feb 2026.
  • Over 2.5: market implies 64% (1.57); both sides score in form — Villarreal 8gf/5ga, Levante 7gf/4ga last 5.
  • BTTS Yes implied 63% (1.60); Levante concede 16L in 33 games away from home, but score in clusters (7gf last 5).
Value vs marketVillarreal win

1.67 implies 60%; our read ~68% gives ~8pt edge. Not a trap — class gap and h2h warrant it.

Cortex Quick Read

Market & statistical baseline
Free
📊
Headline read
Double chance : Villarreal or draw
Villarreal edge
Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %
Villarreal45%
Draw45%
Levante10%
Statistical comparison5-axis · API model
Form
50%
50%
Attack
53%
47%
Defense
44%
56%
Goals model
73%
27%
Head-to-head
71%
29%
Villarreal · league form
LWDWLWDW
Levante · league form
WDDWLWWD
Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points

Recent form

Last 5 matches
VillarrealVillarreal
W3-1Real Sociedad
L0-1Girona
W2-1Athletic Club
D1-1Oviedo
W2-1Celta Vigo
LevanteLevante
D0-0Espanyol
W2-0Sevilla
W1-0Getafe
L0-2Real Sociedad
W4-2Oviedo

Head-to-head

9 previous meetings
9 previous meetingsVillarreal leads 5-3
VillarrealVillarreal
5wins
Drawn
1draws
LevanteLevante
3wins
56%11%33%
Aggregate goals9 matches
17
8

Recent meetings

5

Market odds

via 10Bet
Source: 10Bet12 bookmakers · 3.1% spread
Match Winner
VillarrealFav
1.6760%
Draw
4.1024%
Levante
4.4023%
Double Chance
Villarreal or Draw
1.2083%
Villarreal or LevanteFav
1.1885%
Draw or Levante
2.1547%
Total Goals 2.5
OverFav
1.5764%
Under
2.3543%
Both Teams to Score
YesFav
1.6063%
No
2.2544%
Half-time Result
VillarrealFav
2.1547%
Draw
2.4042%
Levante
4.3323%
Correct Score · 5 most likely
2:114%
7.00
1:114%
7.00
1:013%
8.00
2:013%
8.00
3:110%
10.00

Injuries & suspensions

0 reported
No injuries or suspensions reported.

Both squads at full availability.

Standings

La Liga 2025
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation
#TeamPW-D-LGDPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona3328-1-4+5785
2Real MadridReal Madrid3323-5-5+3774
3VillarrealVillarreal3320-5-8+2165
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3318-6-9+1960
5Real BetisReal Betis3312-14-7+850
6GetafeGetafe3313-5-15-644
7Celta VigoCelta Vigo3311-11-11+244
8Real SociedadReal Sociedad3311-10-12043
9OsasunaOsasuna3311-9-13-142
10Athletic ClubAthletic Club3312-5-16-1241
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano339-12-12-839
12ValenciaValencia3310-9-14-1139
13EspanyolEspanyol3310-9-14-1239
14ElcheElche339-11-13-638
15GironaGirona339-11-13-1438
16AlavesAlaves339-9-15-1136
17MallorcaMallorca339-8-16-1035
18SevillaSevilla339-7-17-1534
19LevanteLevante338-9-16-1333
20OviedoOviedo336-10-17-2528