Primeira Liga·Regular Season - 31Full time
VenueEstádio João Cardoso
RefereeHelder Malheiro, Portugal
Kickoff
Cortex Pick
CxCortex Pick·PENDING
Cortex hasn’t read this match
One tap to surface the bookmaker’s blind spot.
Cortex digests every signal in this fixture and returns a confidence-rated call — plus 4‑6 niche markets where the bookmakers misprice it.
Match winnerWith confidence ring & reasoning
Player propsUp to 6 prop edges, scored
Period markets1H/2H goals, 75′+ goal
Risk AlertLines the AI thinks are traps
Reads fixture + h2h + form + injuries + odds + standings
Match timeline
Tondela0′—91′Match timelineNacional
22'
31'
Home goalAway goalYellowRed
- 90+1'
- 90+1'
- 90'Makan AïkoYellow
- 78'
- 76'
- 64'Jesús RamírezYellow
- 61'
- 61'
- 58'Tiago MansoYellow
- 38'
- 31'B. MedinaGoal · Own Goal
- 22'J. Ramirezassist Daniel Junior
- 14'
Match statistics
Match statistics
17 stats62%
Possession
Tondela62|38Nacional
Shots on goal
5goals
Tondela
6goals
Nacional
Total shots
22shots
Tondela
17shots
Nacional
- 22Total shots17
- 5Shots on goal6
- 9Shots off goal4
- 13Shots inside box8
- 449Total passes275
- 83%Pass accuracy67%
- 8Corners7
- 16Fouls15
- 2Yellow cards1
- –Red cards–
- 1Offsides1
- 8Blocked shots7
- 9Shots outside box9
- 5Goalkeeper saves5
- 371Passes accurate184
- 1.38Expected goals (xG)1.26
- 0.58Goals prevented0.58
Cortex Quick Read
Market & statistical baseline📊Nacional edge
Headline read
Combo Double chance : draw or Nacional and -3.5 goals
Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %
Tondela10%
Draw45%
Nacional45%
Statistical comparison5-axis · API model
Form
25%
75%
Attack
40%
60%
Defense
29%
71%
Goals model
44%
56%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Tondela · league form
DWDLDLDL
Nacional · league form
LLDLLWLW
Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points
Lineups
4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
Tondela4-2-3-1Cristiano Bacci
vs
Nacional4-2-3-1Tiago Margarido
Tondela bench
9
L. CanizaresGoalkeeper30
J. AfonsoDefender5
S. SitholeMidfielder15
B. KimpiokaForward23
R. VitaDefender21
M. AikoForwardyel 90′90
T. MansoDefenderyel 58′48
H. TavaresMidfielder8
J. SiebatcheuForward29
Nacional bench
9
K. V. Medeiros de FreitasGoalkeeper50
J. AurelioDefender2
L. JoaoForward19
WitiForward7
WattsMidfielder30
J. SilvaMidfielder26
A. SousaMidfielder18
Pablo RuanForward99
C. GoncalvesDefender33
Recent form
Last 5 matches
TondelaL0-5
D2-2
L0-2
L0-2
D2-2
NacionalW2-0
W1-0
L0-2
W2-0
L0-1
Head-to-head
10 previous meetings10 previous meetingsNacional leads 5-4
Tondela4wins
Drawn
1draws
Nacional5wins
40%10%50%
Aggregate goals10 matches
10
14
Market odds
via 10BetSource: 10Bet13 bookmakers · 3.7% spread
Match Winner
Tondela
2.7636%
Draw
3.3030%
NacionalFav
2.4840%
Double Chance
Tondela or Draw
1.5067%
Tondela or NacionalFav
1.2878%
Draw or Nacional
1.4270%
Total Goals 2.5
Over
1.9053%
UnderFav
1.8554%
Both Teams to Score
YesFav
1.6760%
No
2.1048%
Half-time Result
Tondela
3.2531%
DrawFav
2.1048%
Nacional
3.1032%
Correct Score · 5 most likely
1:118%
5.50
0:114%
7.00
1:213%
7.50
1:013%
8.00
2:113%
8.00
Injuries & suspensions
0 reportedNo injuries or suspensions reported.
Both squads at full availability.
