Full time
VenueEstádio Municipal de Arouca
RefereeRicardo Baixinho, Portugal
Kickoff
Cortex Pick
pro tierAI summary · abstained
Cortex passed on Arouca vs Santa Clara
Implied 35/34/38% is essentially a three-way coin flip; Arouca's 5W-3D-2L h2h edge is already priced into the draw-tilted 2.85/2.92/2.64 line with no exploitable gap.
Free during launch
Cortex Pick · Pro1d ago · claude-sonnet-4-6
No edge · abstained
Cortex passed on this fixture
Line is efficient
Implied 35/34/38% is essentially a three-way coin flip; Arouca's 5W-3D-2L h2h edge is already priced into the draw-tilted 2.85/2.92/2.64 line with no exploitable gap.
Cortex looks at every fixture but only publishes a call when the numbers point to real value. Skipping is part of the product.
Match timeline
Arouca0′—90′Match timelineSanta Clara
8'
10'
84'
90'
Home goalAway goalYellowRed
- 90'Elias Manoelassist Welinton Torrao
- 88'Frederico VenâncioYellow
- 85'
- 84'Tiago Esgaioassist T. Fukui
- 76'
- 76'
- 76'
- 76'
- 75'
- 66'Hyun-ju LeeYellow
- 66'Hyun-ju LeeRed card
- 64'
- 59'
- 45+3'Hyun-ju LeeYellow
- 46'
- 44'José TavaresYellow
- 30'SerginhoYellow
- 22'
- 10'Gabriel Silvaassist Serginho
- 8'H. Leeassist Tiago Esgaio
- 5'Javi SánchezYellow
Match statistics
Match statistics
17 stats51%
Possession
Arouca51|49Santa Clara
Shots on goal
5goals
Arouca
4goals
Santa Clara
Total shots
9shots
Arouca
12shots
Santa Clara
- 9Total shots12
- 5Shots on goal4
- 3Shots off goal5
- 3Shots inside box9
- 427Total passes405
- 89%Pass accuracy88%
- 5Corners6
- 15Fouls8
- 3Yellow cards3
- 1Red cards0
- 1Offsides3
- 1Blocked shots3
- 6Shots outside box3
- 1Goalkeeper saves3
- 378Passes accurate357
- 0.78Expected goals (xG)1.86
- -0.27Goals prevented-0.27
Cortex Quick Read
Market & statistical baselineHeadline read
Double chance : Arouca or draw
Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %
Arouca45%
Draw45%
Santa Clara10%
Statistical comparisonfrom market & model
Form
56%
44%
Attack
55%
45%
Defense
58%
42%
Goals model
51%
49%
Head-to-head
71%
29%
Arouca · league form
LLLWWLWL
Santa Clara · league form
DWWWLLDW
Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points
Lineups
4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1Arouca4-2-3-1Vasco Seabra
vsSanta Clara4-2-3-1Vasco Matos
Arouca bench
9
J. VinarcikGoalkeeper30
A. DanteDefender44
Pedro SantosMidfielder89
M. RochaDefender4
F. MayuluForward9
B. MansillaForward24
P. GozalbezMidfielder10
D. MonteiroDefender6
M. FloresMidfielder46
Santa Clara bench
9
J. AfonsoGoalkeeper50
P. PachecoDefender4
Lucas SoaresDefender42
Paulo VictorDefender64
Welinton TorraoForward49
DarlanMidfielder37
Elias ManoelForward⚽ 90′7
Vinicius LopesForward70
AndreyMidfielder78
Recent form
Last 5 matchesNo recent matches on file
No recent matches on file
Head-to-head
0 previous meetingsNo previous meetings on record between these teams.
Market odds
via 10BetSource: 10Bet12 bookmakers · 4.1% spread
Match Winner
AroucaFav
2.7436%
Draw
2.9634%
Santa ClaraFav
2.7436%
Double Chance
Arouca or Draw
1.4469%
Arouca or Santa ClaraFav
1.3375%
Draw or Santa Clara
1.4469%
Total Goals 2.5
Over
2.2544%
UnderFav
1.6262%
Both Teams to Score
YesFav
1.8554%
NoFav
1.8554%
Half-time Result
Arouca
3.2531%
DrawFav
2.0050%
Santa Clara
3.2531%
Correct Score · 5 most likely
1:120%
5.00
1:015%
6.50
0:115%
6.50
0:014%
7.00
2:112%
8.50
Injuries & suspensions
0 reportedNo injuries or suspensions reported.
Both squads at full availability.























