Livingston vs Aberdeen · Premiership · 1 May 2026 · Cortex AI

Premiership·Relegation Group - 35

Scheduled

Livingston

Fri 1 May

18:45

your local time

Aberdeen

VenueThe Home of the Set Fare Arena

RefereeC. Scott

KickoffFri 1 May, 18:45

Cortex Pick

pro tier

Generated

AI summary62% confidence

Cortex projects: Aberdeen win

Aberdeen lead h2h 6-1-3 over 10 meetings; scored 21 vs Livingston's 6 — structural dominance.
Aberdeen 6-2 win at this venue in January 2026 is the most recent form signal between these sides.
Livingston rank 12 with GD -31 and 1W-13D-19L; worst defensive record in the group by margin.

Free during launch

CxCortex Pick·PROGenerated 1d ago·claude-sonnet-4-6

Match winner

Aberdeen win

0conf

AI Signal Radar77 avg

Six signal dimensions Cortex weighed. The shape is what the AI saw before the call — thin lobes mean thin data, full lobes mean high conviction.

Form65
H2H100
Market81
Injuries55
Standings69
Edge90

Aberdeen's h2h superiority is emphatic — 21 goals scored to 6 conceded across 10 meetings, including a 6-2 demolition in January. Livingston's season record (1W-13D-19L, GD -31) reflects a side that rarely wins and leaks goals consistently. Aberdeen's form (W-W-L-L-D) is patchy but their quality gap over Livingston is structural, not situational. Both sides have combined for high-scoring h2h fixtures; BTTS is supported by Livingston's attacking output (6 GF last 5) even if their defense is porous.

Goals lines

Both teams to scoreYes

60%

Total goals 2.5Over

58%

Player props

3 calls

Bookmakers price player performance lines loosely — this is where the AI hunts the edge.

S. Armstrongaway

Key passes Over 1.5

Armstrong averages 1.99 key passes per 90 across 42 apps/2753 min — line of 1.5 sits comfortably below his season average. Creative hub for Aberdeen in open play.

63%

R. Muirheadhome

Shots Over 1.5

Muirhead averages 2.19 shots per 90 across 35 apps/1769 min — highest shot volume in Livingston's squad. Line of 1.5 is below his per-90 average; Livingston will need to attack to stay in this game.

61%

L. Smithhome

Shots on target Over 0.5

L. Smith averages 1.42 shots per 90 total and 0.93 on target per 90 (21 on target in 2033 min). Line of 0.5 is low relative to his output; 9 goals this season confirms consistent finishing attempts.

60%

Period markets

2 calls

1H GoalsOver 0.5

Three of the last four h2h fixtures produced goals (6-2, 0-1, 5-1). Aberdeen's attacking intent from recent wins and Livingston's defensive frailty (GD -31) make a first-half goal highly probable.

64%

75'+

Goal 75-90'Yes

Livingston's desperation at home in a relegation context combined with Aberdeen's willingness to push in open play supports late-game goal probability. Both sides concede regularly — 14 GA combined in last 5.

57%

Cortex Uncovered

What the AI weighed

Aberdeen lead h2h 6-1-3 over 10 meetings; scored 21 vs Livingston's 6 — structural dominance.
Aberdeen 6-2 win at this venue in January 2026 is the most recent form signal between these sides.
Livingston rank 12 with GD -31 and 1W-13D-19L; worst defensive record in the group by margin.
Aberdeen's implied odds (42%) sit above market fair value given h2h dominance and standings gap.

Value vs marketAberdeen win

Aberdeen at 2.40 (42% implied) is mild value given 60% h2h win rate and 17-point standings gap. Market appears to overrate Livingston home advantage.

Cortex Quick Read

Market & statistical baseline

Free

📊

Headline read

Double chance : draw or Aberdeen

Aberdeen edge

Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %

Livingston10%

Draw45%

Aberdeen45%

Statistical comparison5-axis · API model

Form

42%

58%

Attack

55%

45%

Defense

50%

Goals model

63%

37%

Head-to-head

15%

85%

Livingston · league form

DDDDLDLW

Aberdeen · league form

DLLDLLWW

Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points

Recent form

Last 5 matches

Livingston

D0-0

L0-2

D2-2

L2-3

W2-0

Aberdeen

W1-0

W2-0

L0-2

L1-4

D1-1

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

10 previous meetingsAberdeen leads 6-1

Livingston

1wins

Drawn

3draws

Aberdeen

6wins

10%30%60%

Aggregate goals10 matches

Recent meetings

24 Jan 26Aberdeen6–2LivingstonPremiership
30 Nov 25Livingston0–1AberdeenPremiership
13 Sept 25Aberdeen0–0LivingstonPremiership
15 May 24Aberdeen5–1LivingstonPremiership
06 Apr 24Livingston0–0AberdeenPremiership

Market odds

via 10Bet

Source: 10Bet12 bookmakers · 3.7% spread

Match Winner

Livingston

2.7836%

Draw

3.4029%

AberdeenFav

2.4042%

Double Chance

Livingston or Draw

1.5565%

Livingston or AberdeenFav

1.2580%

Draw or Aberdeen

1.4270%

Total Goals 2.5

OverFav

1.8554%

Under

1.9053%

Both Teams to Score

YesFav

1.7059%

2.1048%

Half-time Result

Livingston

3.3030%

DrawFav

2.1547%

Aberdeen

2.9534%

Correct Score · 5 most likely

1:117%

5.75

0:114%

7.00

1:213%

7.50

1:013%

8.00

2:112%

8.50

Injuries & suspensions

0 reported

No injuries or suspensions reported.

Both squads at full availability.

Standings

Premiership 2025

Relegation

#	Team	P	W-D-L	GD	Pts
6	Falkirk	33	13-7-13	-3	46
7	Dundee Utd	33	9-13-11	-9	40
8	Aberdeen	33	9-6-18	-15	33
9	Dundee	33	8-9-16	-19	33
10	ST Mirren	33	7-9-17	-21	30
11	Kilmarnock	33	6-10-17	-28	28
12	Livingston	33	1-13-19	-31	16