Falkirk vs Motherwell · Premiership · 2 May 2026 · Cortex AI

Premiership·Championship Group - 35

Scheduled

Falkirk

Sat 2 May

14:00

your local time

Motherwell

VenueFalkirk Stadium

RefereeD. McFarlane

KickoffSat 2 May, 14:00

Cortex Pick

pro tier

Generated

AI summary58% confidence

Cortex projects: Falkirk win

Falkirk lead h2h 2W-1D-0L across all 3 meetings, including 3-2 win away at Motherwell on 2026-04-04.
Market prices Motherwell as marginal favorite (39% implied) despite Falkirk's complete h2h dominance in this fixture.
B. Stewart (Falkirk) has 8G in 15 apps (2.04 shots/90); R. MacIver adds 4G/14apps at 2.23 shots/90 — combined threat above Falkirk's table rank suggests.

Free during launch

CxCortex Pick·PROGenerated 56m ago·claude-sonnet-4-6

Match winner

Falkirk win

0conf

AI Signal Radar70 avg

Six signal dimensions Cortex weighed. The shape is what the AI saw before the call — thin lobes mean thin data, full lobes mean high conviction.

Form57
H2H67
Market81
Injuries55
Standings69
Edge90

Market implies Falkirk 38% / Motherwell 39% — near-equal. H2H tells a different story: Falkirk 2W-1D-0L with 5-3 aggregate, including an away win at Motherwell just four weeks ago. Our read puts Falkirk closer to 48%, a ~10pt edge over the 38% implied, hence confidence 58. Over 2.5 implied at 56% (1.8 odds); two of three h2h meetings went over and both squads are conceding at ~2.6ga per 5 games, supporting over. BTTS Yes implied at 62% (1.62); goals in both halves in the most recent meeting and free-scoring attackers on both sides keep this live.

Goals lines

Both teams to scoreYes

62%

Total goals 2.5Over

60%

Player props

3 calls

Bookmakers price player performance lines loosely — this is where the AI hunts the edge.

B. Spencerhome

Tackles Over 1.5

Spencer averages 2.32 tackles/90 over 38 apps (3265 min) — highest volume midfielder on Falkirk. Line 1.5 is 0.82 below his per-90 in a competitive derby likely to feature high contest volume.

64%

B. Stewarthome

Shots Over 1.5

Stewart averages 2.04 shots/90 over 15 apps (1238 min). Motherwell allow opposition attempts regularly (11ga last 5). Line 1.5 sits comfortably below his per-90 even accounting for sub risk.

63%

E. Björgólfssonaway

Shots Over 2

Björgólfsson averages exactly 2.5 shots/90 over 38 apps (1403 min) with 10G. Falkirk concede 13ga in last 5. Line 2.0 sits half a shot below his season per-90 across a large sample.

62%

Period markets

2 calls

1H GoalsOver 0.5

2 of 3 h2h meetings produced goals (3-2, 1-2); both sides score and concede regularly. Motherwell's attacking structure (GD +23) likely tests Falkirk early. Strong base for first-half goal.

62%

2H GoalsOver 1.5

Both teams concede 2.6ga per 5 games recently. H2H aggregate 8 goals across 3 games (~2.7/game). Second halves in open Championship Group games tend to see fatigue-driven openings, supporting multiple SH goals.

58%

Cortex Uncovered

What the AI weighed

Falkirk lead h2h 2W-1D-0L across all 3 meetings, including 3-2 win away at Motherwell on 2026-04-04.
Market prices Motherwell as marginal favorite (39% implied) despite Falkirk's complete h2h dominance in this fixture.
B. Stewart (Falkirk) has 8G in 15 apps (2.04 shots/90); R. MacIver adds 4G/14apps at 2.23 shots/90 — combined threat above Falkirk's table rank suggests.
Both sides concede freely: Falkirk 13ga/5L, Motherwell 11ga/5L in last 5. BTTS Yes landed in 2 of 3 h2h meetings (both 3-2 and 1-2 games).

Value vs marketFalkirk win

Falkirk 2.6 (implied 38%) looks mispriced given 2W-1D h2h dominance including win 4 weeks ago; market appears to anchor on league standings (rank 6 vs 4) and recent form rather than direct-match record.

Cortex Quick Read

Market & statistical baseline

Free

📊

Headline read

Combo Double chance : Falkirk or draw and +1.5 goals

Falkirk edge

Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %

Falkirk45%

Draw45%

Motherwell10%

Statistical comparison5-axis · API model

Form

50%

Attack

56%

44%

Defense

44%

56%

Goals model

41%

59%

Head-to-head

88%

13%

Falkirk · league form

LLWDLWLL

Motherwell · league form

WWLLDLLW

Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points

Recent form

Last 5 matches

Falkirk

L1-2

W3-2

L3-6

D0-0

L1-3

Motherwell

W3-2

L1-3

L2-3

D0-0

L1-3

Head-to-head

3 previous meetings

3 previous meetingsFalkirk leads 2-0

Falkirk

2wins

Drawn

1draws

Motherwell

0wins

67%33%0%

Aggregate goals3 matches

Recent meetings

04 Apr 26Motherwell2–3FalkirkPremiership
03 Dec 25Falkirk0–0MotherwellPremiership
18 Oct 25Motherwell1–2FalkirkPremiership

Market odds

via 10Bet

Source: 10Bet12 bookmakers · 4.3% spread

Match Winner

Falkirk

2.6038%

Draw

3.4029%

MotherwellFav

2.5639%

Double Chance

Falkirk or Draw

1.5067%

Falkirk or MotherwellFav

1.2580%

Draw or Motherwell

1.4868%

Total Goals 2.5

OverFav

1.8056%

Under

2.0050%

Both Teams to Score

YesFav

1.6262%

2.2045%

Half-time Result

Falkirk

3.1032%

DrawFav

2.2045%

Motherwell

3.1032%

Correct Score · 5 most likely

1:117%

5.75

1:013%

8.00

2:113%

8.00

0:113%

8.00

1:213%

8.00

Injuries & suspensions

0 reported

No injuries or suspensions reported.

Both squads at full availability.

Standings

Premiership 2025

Relegation

#	Team	P	W-D-L	GD	Pts
2	Rangers	33	19-12-2	+35	69
3	Celtic	33	21-4-8	+24	67
4	Motherwell	33	14-12-7	+23	54
5	Hibernian	33	13-12-8	+14	51
6	Falkirk	33	13-7-13	-3	46
7	Dundee Utd	33	9-13-11	-9	40
8	Aberdeen	33	9-6-18	-15	33