UEFA Champions League·Semi-finalsFull time
VenueRiyadh Air Metropolitano
RefereeDanny Makkelie, Netherlands
Kickoff
Cortex Pick
free tierAI summary62% confidence
Cortex projects: Arsenal win
Arsenal's UCL dominance (8W, GD+19) and the 4-0 away win over Atletico this campaign outweigh home advantage. Atletico's recent form is poor (L-D-L in last 3) with key absences. Odds undervalue Arsenal at 2.26.
- Arsenal rank 1 in UCL, 8W-0D-0L, GD +19 vs Atletico rank 14
- Arsenal won 4-0 at Emirates in reverse fixture this season
Free during launch
CxCortex Pick·FREEGenerated 1d ago·claude-sonnet-4-6
0won·1lost·0push
Match winnerLost
Arsenal win
0conf
AI Signal Radar74 avg
Six signal dimensions Cortex weighed. The shape is what the AI saw before the call — thin lobes mean thin data, full lobes mean high conviction.
- Form62
- H2H85
- Market82
- Injuries84
- Standings100
- Edge30
Arsenal's UCL dominance (8W, GD+19) and the 4-0 away win over Atletico this campaign outweigh home advantage. Atletico's recent form is poor (L-D-L in last 3) with key absences. Odds undervalue Arsenal at 2.26.
Cortex Uncovered
What the AI weighed- Arsenal rank 1 in UCL, 8W-0D-0L, GD +19 vs Atletico rank 14
- Arsenal won 4-0 at Emirates in reverse fixture this season
Cortex Quick Read
Market & statistical baseline📊Arsenal edge
Headline read
Double chance : draw or Arsenal
Match outcome splitAPI model · implied %
Atletico Madrid10%
Draw45%
Arsenal45%
Statistical comparison5-axis · API model
Form
45%
55%
Attack
67%
33%
Defense
27%
73%
Goals model
18%
82%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Atletico Madrid · league form
DLDWWLWL
Arsenal · league form
WWWWDWWD
Public statistical baseline. Cortex AI’s full read — niche markets, player props, and risk alerts — sits at the top of this page.Read 0 data points
Recent form
Last 5 matches
Atletico MadridL1-2
D2-2
L2-3
W3-2
D1-1
ArsenalD1-1
W1-0
L1-2
D0-0
L1-2
Head-to-head
5 previous meetings5 previous meetingsEven split
Atletico Madrid1wins
Drawn
3draws
Arsenal1wins
20%60%20%
Aggregate goals5 matches
4
7
Recent meetings
5- 29 Apr 26Atletico Madrid1–1ArsenalUEFA Champions League
- 21 Oct 25Arsenal4–0Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League
- 26 Jul 18Atletico Madrid1–1ArsenalInternational Champions Cup
- 03 May 18Atletico Madrid1–0ArsenalUEFA Europa League
- 26 Apr 18Arsenal1–1Atletico MadridUEFA Europa League
Market odds
via 10BetSource: 10Bet13 bookmakers · 4.1% spread
Match Winner
Atletico Madrid
3.1032%
Draw
3.3030%
ArsenalFav
2.2644%
Double Chance
Atletico or Draw
1.6262%
Atletico or ArsenalFav
1.2878%
Draw or Arsenal
1.3674%
Total Goals 2.5
Over
2.2045%
UnderFav
1.6561%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.9152%
NoFav
1.8355%
Half-time Result
Atletico Madrid
3.6028%
DrawFav
2.0549%
Arsenal
2.9534%
Correct Score · 5 most likely
1:119%
5.25
0:117%
6.00
1:014%
7.00
1:213%
7.50
0:013%
8.00
Injuries & suspensions
6 reportedAtletico Madrid
3
P. BarriosMuscle InjuryOut
N. GonzalezMuscle InjuryOut
J. M. GimenezInjuryDoubt
Arsenal
3
K. HavertzKnee InjuryOut
M. MerinoFoot InjuryOut
J. TimberAnkle InjuryOut
Standings
UEFA Champions League 2025Champions League
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 8 | 8-0-0 | +19 | 24 |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 8 | 7-0-1 | +14 | 21 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | 6-0-2 | +12 | 18 |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 8 | 5-2-1 | +10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | 5-1-2 | +8 | 16 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | 5-1-2 | +7 | 16 |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5-1-2 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | 5-1-2 | +6 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 5-0-3 | +9 | 15 |
| 10 |  Inter | 8 | 5-0-3 | +8 | 15 |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4-2-2 | +10 | 14 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 4-2-2 | +10 | 14 |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | 3-4-1 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 4-1-3 | +2 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 4-1-3 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3-3-2 | -1 | 12 |